Tuesday, February 4, 2020

New draft on "Whose Story Wins: The Noosphere, Noopolitik, and the Future of Statecraft"

Some of you may be interested in a new draft of our paper on “WHOSE STORY WINS: THE NOÖSPHERE, NOÖPOLITIK, AND THE FUTURE OF STATECRAFT” (Draft, November 2019). John Arquilla is my co-author. It supercedes a 2018 draft I put here back then.

Reading and writing have consumed enormous time and energy (one reason I’ve been so withdrawn from this blog). I had hoped the paper would be published by now. But it looks as though that prospect is still months away, and will involve further revisions and updates that I already want to make for a third round. 

So, for now, I’ve posted this second draft online at the Social Science Research Network (SSRN), just in case matters take even longer. Here's the URL:


You can take a look there. To download, it will ask you to register, but if you don’t want to, just look on the right side for the place to “Download without registration.”


Two decades ago, we proposed noöpolitik as a new concept for adapting American strategy to the information age. We urged strategists to rethink the concept of “information” and recognize that a new realm is emerging that will profoundly affect statecraft: the noösphere, a globe-circling “realm of the mind.” As it expands, conditions will lessen for realpolitik strategies based on material “hard power,” and increase for strategies based on noöpolitik and its preference for ideational “soft power.” Thus, the decisive factor in today’s and tomorrow’s wars of ideas is bound to be “whose story wins” — the essence of noöpolitik. 

This latest discussion of our ideas clarifies the origin, nature, and spread of the noösphere concept, and illuminates how America’s adversaries are deploying dark forms of noöpolitik against us, quite effectively. In addition to proposing better ways for America to fight back, we also find that the future of the noösphere and noöpolitik may depend on what happens to the “global commons” — a construct that has long had strong support in environmental-science and social-activist circles, as well as in military-strategy circles. To improve the prospects for the noösphere and noöpolitik, U.S. policy and strategy should, among other initiatives, treat the global commons as a pivotal issue area, uphold “guarded openness” as a guiding principle, and institute a new requirement for periodic reviews of our nation’s “information posture.”

Here's the hot link: